PTFA: Why We Can’t See Tomorrow Clearly Anymore
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is the PTFA framework and why did you develop it?
PTFA — Past Trauma, Future Anxiety — is a framework I developed to explain a pattern I kept encountering in foresight work with organisations and leaders: the consistent difficulty of seeing and preparing for futures that were already clearly signalled. I observed that this difficulty was not primarily analytical — it was not that people lacked information about what was coming. It was that present-moment decision-making was being shaped by two powerful forces: unprocessed experiences from the past (Past Trauma) and projected fears about the future (Future Anxiety). Together, these forces create a kind of temporal distortion that makes the present feel more manageable if we don’t look too clearly at what’s coming.
Q: How does Past Trauma affect how organisations and leaders respond to change?
Past experiences — particularly painful ones involving failed change, broken promises, loss, or disruption — create patterns of interpretation that are applied to new situations even when the new situation is different. An organisation that went through a damaging restructuring may resist all future restructuring signals, even when the case for change is compelling. A leader who was punished for raising difficult truths may become conflict-avoidant in ways that protect them personally but harm the organisation. PTFA work involves making these patterns visible so they can be examined rather than unconsciously enacted.
Q: How does Future Anxiety operate and what does it do to strategic thinking?
Future Anxiety is the projection of current fears and insecurities onto an imagined future — often in ways that are not warranted by the actual signals. It manifests as catastrophising (the future will be terrible), paralysis (we cannot plan because everything is uncertain), or denial (the signals are not real, things will stay the same). Each of these responses impairs the quality of strategic thinking in different ways. The foresight practice that addresses Future Anxiety is not positive thinking — it is rigorous examination of what the signals actually say, which is usually more navigable than the anxiety-driven projection.
Q: Can Morris Misel speak on the PTFA framework and how it applies to our organisation, sector, or leadership context?
Yes. PTFA is one of Morris’s core proprietary frameworks and is available as a keynote, workshop, or leadership development program. Particularly relevant for healthcare, education, government, and any organisation navigating significant change. Book at morrismisel.com.
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