Radio ABC – FutureTech Segment – 12 March 2010

What makes technology adoption unpredictable even when the technology itself works well?

Technology doesn’t spread on capability alone. It spreads based on how it fits into existing practices, whether people trust it, and what it demands of them. Organisations often fail to adopt working technology because they underestimate the human and organisational factors, not the technical ones.

How far ahead do leaders need to think about technology shifts if change happens so fast?

Not decades—months matter. The organisations preparing now for what’s already arriving (what foresight strategists call Immediate Futures) are the ones that move from early adopter to advantage. By the time tech becomes obvious, the competitive window has usually closed.

Can organisations protect themselves from technology disruption if they’re in a traditional industry?

Yes, but not by ignoring technology. They protect themselves by understanding which shifts actually threaten their business model and which are adjacent noise. Then they prepare strategically instead of reacting in crisis. This requires seeing technology shifts before they hit your sector.

Why do some organisations embrace new technology while others in the same industry resist it?

Adoption depends on perceived risk and benefit. Organisations with strong foresight practices see opportunity earlier because they understand the shift’s weight and trajectory. Others see only cost and disruption. The difference is preparation and clarity about what change actually means.

What should a technology leader tell their board about preparing for future tech disruption?

Lead with implications, not predictions. Explain what shifts are already observable, what decisions they force, and what preparation looks like now. Boards respond to clarity about what needs attention today, not speculation about distant futures. Foresight work bridges that gap.

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