Radio ABC – Future Tech Segment – 26 February 2010
Technology shifts don’t announce themselves politely. They arrive gradually then suddenly, reshaping how work happens, who holds power, and what becomes possible. Organisations that wait until technology disruption is obvious are already behind. Foresight means paying attention to the signals arriving today.
Genuine shifts solve real problems or create new possibilities that people actually want. They’re grounded in capability, not just marketing. Early signals appear in niche sectors before going mainstream. Watch what specialist users adopt; that’s where real shifts begin before broader awareness arrives.
Leaders must hold two truths simultaneously: scepticism (not every tech prediction happens) and openness (some shifts arrive faster than expected). PTFA shows organisations often resist change based on past trauma. Inhabitable futures require decisions made from clarity, not fear.
Most organisations plan assuming current conditions persist. Real foresight means identifying what could genuinely shift and asking: what ripple effects follow? How would our sector change? What decisions must we make now to stay relevant if this shift actually happens?
Build regular scanning routines. Assign someone to track signals in your sector. Test assumptions. Ask: what technology is growing in adjacent sectors? What are specialised users already doing? What skills might become strategic? These questions shape decisions that keep organisations inhabitable.