There’s a report going around suggesting that Hong Kong should get rid of its trams to ease up on the road congestion. My question to Phil Whelan of Hong Kong Radio 3 in our regular catch up is how will the 194,000 daily passengers travelling on the 161 double-deck trams get wher.

The window between a signal arriving and it demanding a response is shortening. Trams have to be a part of Hong Kong’s future / Hong is already shaping strategy conversations in forward-looking organisations. Treating it as a future concern rather than a present one builds a preparedness gap that will have to be closed under pressure.

The most important question is not whether Trams have to be a part of Hong Kong’s future / Hong will matter, but how quickly it will matter in your specific context. Leaders benefit most from mapping the ripple effects early — not just the direct impact but the second and third-order consequences that arrive later and hit harder. That is the practical work of foresight.